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	<title>Comments on: Granularity of time</title>
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	<link>http://ozrisk.net/2008/03/24/granularity-of-time/</link>
	<description>Risk Management in Australia</description>
	<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jul 2008 19:47:51 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Inside a time grain &#171; ozrisk.net</title>
		<link>http://ozrisk.net/2008/03/24/granularity-of-time/#comment-26277</link>
		<dc:creator>Inside a time grain &#171; ozrisk.net</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 15:06:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] Default Analytics by Clive Tags: exposed to risk, time granularity   Harking back to the issue of time granularity, and anticipating some default analytic calculations yet to come, let&#8217;s get back to small [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Default Analytics by Clive Tags: exposed to risk, time granularity   Harking back to the issue of time granularity, and anticipating some default analytic calculations yet to come, let&#8217;s get back to small [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Clive</title>
		<link>http://ozrisk.net/2008/03/24/granularity-of-time/#comment-26210</link>
		<dc:creator>Clive</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 02:14:07 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Daily snapshots as you describe would be easily possible by today's standards. Many banking systems would already have something like this for the current month and one or two months prior, but not keep older archives because the monthly summaries and/or transaction histories suffice for all important questions.


The staightforward design for a daily snapshot data table would have one record (row) for each day for each account: thus one record of the table might look like (26/3/2008, 0123-456-7, 0, -$8972.15, $10000). This design has a two-part key, namely date*account_number. 

A more space-efficient plan is to have the date portion of the key working as a date-valid-from field, such that a new record is only created if the content of any non-date field has changed. For vanilla products like HL or PL, and assuming that the account doesn't have the DPD counter ticking upwards, this should lead to only a couple of records per month, to capture the monthly instalment movements. For reasons of efficient query logic, an implementation of this design should additionally have a date-valid-to field plus a simple Y/N indicator flag for the "current" (i.e. latest) record for each account.

It is not difficult for programmers to convert between the above two designs on the fly when required by the task at hand.
  

What advantages might be derived by having daily, rather than monthly, snapshots?

The original post hinted at some, amounting to a better grip on time (and data) granularity at levels below a month. This would be welcomed by modellers, but the cost/benefit would need to be argued. OTOH I think a greater benefit would come in the behavioural information that might be unlocked from analysis of intra-month spending patterns on CCs and transaction accounts. This could have value beyond credit risk, e.g. retention and cross-sell.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Daily snapshots as you describe would be easily possible by today&#8217;s standards. Many banking systems would already have something like this for the current month and one or two months prior, but not keep older archives because the monthly summaries and/or transaction histories suffice for all important questions.</p>
<p>The staightforward design for a daily snapshot data table would have one record (row) for each day for each account: thus one record of the table might look like (26/3/2008, 0123-456-7, 0, -$8972.15, $10000). This design has a two-part key, namely date*account_number. </p>
<p>A more space-efficient plan is to have the date portion of the key working as a date-valid-from field, such that a new record is only created if the content of any non-date field has changed. For vanilla products like HL or PL, and assuming that the account doesn&#8217;t have the DPD counter ticking upwards, this should lead to only a couple of records per month, to capture the monthly instalment movements. For reasons of efficient query logic, an implementation of this design should additionally have a date-valid-to field plus a simple Y/N indicator flag for the &#8220;current&#8221; (i.e. latest) record for each account.</p>
<p>It is not difficult for programmers to convert between the above two designs on the fly when required by the task at hand.</p>
<p>What advantages might be derived by having daily, rather than monthly, snapshots?</p>
<p>The original post hinted at some, amounting to a better grip on time (and data) granularity at levels below a month. This would be welcomed by modellers, but the cost/benefit would need to be argued. OTOH I think a greater benefit would come in the behavioural information that might be unlocked from analysis of intra-month spending patterns on CCs and transaction accounts. This could have value beyond credit risk, e.g. retention and cross-sell.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://ozrisk.net/2008/03/24/granularity-of-time/#comment-26209</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Mar 2008 10:15:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ozrisk.wordpress.com/?p=304#comment-26209</guid>
		<description>Clive,
Would one possible (longer term) solution be to keep really pared down daily snapshots for the bare minimum of information needed for this analysis, such as account number, DPD, balance and limit? OTOH, disk space is really cheap so perhaps it is a good time to look at altering archiving policies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Clive,<br />
Would one possible (longer term) solution be to keep really pared down daily snapshots for the bare minimum of information needed for this analysis, such as account number, DPD, balance and limit? OTOH, disk space is really cheap so perhaps it is a good time to look at altering archiving policies.</p>
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